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M. Michel Crucifix

SST/SC - Faculté des sciences
PHYS - Ecole de physique (PHYS)
SST/ELI - Earth and Life Institute (ELI)
ELIC - Earth & Climate (ELIC)
SST/IRMP - Institut de recherche en mathématique et physique (IRMP)

Adresse courrier
  ELIC - Place Louis Pasteur 3 bte L4.03.08 à 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve
Email
 
PHYS
  Téléphone : 010 47 33 00
  Secrétariat : 010 47 32 97
  Télécopie : 010 47 47 22
  Bâtiment : Mercator; Etage 04; Local B 452; Site Louvain-la-Neuve




Diplômes

année

intitulé

établissement

1998Diplôme de licence en physiqueFacultés Universitaires Notre Dame de la Paix à Namur
1999Diplômé d'études approfondies en physiqueUniversité catholique de Louvain
2002Docteur en sciencesUniversité catholique de Louvain

Expérience professionnelle antérieure

2002  - 2006 : Palaeoclimate Research Scientist - Met Office Hadley Centre - UK

Academies

Membre de l'Académie Royale des Sciences de Belgique

Membre de la Young Academy of Europe

Professeur Invité du Collège Belgique (2010)

membre du Collège des Alumni

membre du Comité de Géodésie et de Géophysique de l'Académie Royale

Comités (Belgique)

Adminstrateur et membre du conseils de la Revue des Questions Scientifiques

Commissions Scientifique, section 'Sciences Exactes et Naturelles - 4 (SEN-4)', Fonds National de la Rercherche Scientifique

Comités (International)

Editeur, Reviews of Géophysics




Michel Crucifix dirige un groupe de recherche d'étude théorique des climats et paléoclimats. 

Mots clés : climat, palaeoclimats, simulation numérique, systèmes dynamique, variabilité climatique, statistiques Bayésiennes

Site du groupe de recherche : http://www.climate.be/users/crucifix

2015
Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Mitsui, Takahito ; Crucifix, Michel ; Aihara, K.. Bifurcations and strange non chaotic attractors in a phase oscillator model of glacial-interglacial cycles. In: Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena (Accepté/Sous presse). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154813

  • Araya Melo, Pablo Andrés ; Crucifix, Michel ; Bounceur, Nabila. Global sensitivity analysis of the Indian monsoon during the Pleistocene. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 11, no.11, p. 45-61 (12/01/2015). doi:10.5194/cp-11-45-2015. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154812

  • 2014
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Araya-Melo, P. A. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Bounceur, N.. Global sensitivity analysis of Indian Monsoon during the Pleistocene. In: Climate of the Past Discussions, Vol. 10, no.2, p. 1609-1651 (2014). doi:10.5194/cpd-10-1609-2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/145683

  • Bounceur, Nabila ; Crucifix, Michel ; Wilkinson , R.D.. Global sensitivity analysis of the climate–vegetation system to astronomical forcing: an emulator-based approach. In: Earth System Dynamics Discussions, Vol. 5, no.5, p. 901-943 (2014). doi:10.5194/esdd-5-901-2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154819

  • Maris, M. N. A. ; Ligtenberg, S. R. M. ; Crucifix, Michel ; de Boer, B. ; Oerlemans, J.. Modelling the evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet since the last interglacial. In: The Cryosphere Discussions, Vol. 8, no.1, p. 85-120 (2014). doi:10.5194/tcd-8-85-2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/145673

  • Maris, M. N. A. ; de Boer, B. ; Ligtenberg, S. R. M. ; Crucifix, Michel ; van de Berg, W. J. ; Oerlemans, J.. Modelling the evolution of the Antarctic ice sheet since the last interglacial. In: The Cryosphere, Vol. 8, no. 4, p. 1347-1360 (2014). doi:10.5194/tc-8-1347-2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154855

  • Yin, Qiuzhen ; Singh, Umesh ; Berger, André ; Guo, Zhengtang ; Crucifix, Michel. Relative impact of insolation and the Indo-Pacific warm pool surface temperature on the East Asia summer monsoon during the MIS-13 interglacial. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 10, no. 1, p. 1645-1657. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/151467

  • De Vleeschouwer, David ; Crucifix, Michel ; Bounceur, Nabila ; Claeys, Philippe. The impact of astronomical forcing on the Late Devonian greenhouse climate. In: Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 120, p. 65-80 (2014). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/145687

  • 2013
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • De Saedeleer, Bernard ; Crucifix, Michel ; Wieczorek, Sebastian. Is the astronomical forcing a reliable and unique pacemakerfor climate? A conceptual model study. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 40, p. 273-294 (2013). doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1316-1. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/119083

  • Crucifix, Michel. Why could ice ages be unpredictable?. In: Climate of the Past, , no.9, p. 2253-2267 (2013). doi:10.5194/cp-9-2253-2013. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/146003

  • 2012
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Rohling, E.J. ; Sluijs, A. ; Dijkstra, H.A. ; Köhler, P. ; Van De Wal, R.S.W. ; Von Der Heydt, A.S. ; Beerling, D.J. ; Berger, André ; Bijl, P.K. ; Crucifix, Michel. Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity. In: Nature : international weekly journal of science, Vol. 491, p. 683-691 (2012). doi:10.1038/nature11574. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/118863

  • Crucifix, Michel. Oscillators and relaxation phenomena in Pleistocene climate theory. In: Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. A, Vol. 370, no. 1962, p. 1140-1165 (2012). doi:10.1098/rsta.2011.0315. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/107816

  • De Vleeschouwer, D. ; Da Silva, A.C. ; Boulvain, F. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Claeys, P.. Precessional and half-precessional climate forcing of Mid-Devonian monsoon-like dynamics. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 8, no. 1, p. 337-351 (2012). doi:10.5194/cp-8-337-2012. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/118870

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Harrison, Sandy ; Brierley, Chris. Recent and deep pasts in paleoclimate model intercomparison project. In: Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, Vol. 93, no.51, p. 539 (2012). doi:10.1029/2012EO510010. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/132722

  • Crucifix, Michel. Traditional and novel approaches to palaeoclimate modelling. In: Quaternary Science Reviews, Vol. 57, no. 4, p. 1-16 (2012). doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.09.010. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/132719

  • 2011
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Crucifix, Michel. How can a glacial inception be predicted?. In: The Holocene : a major interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change, Vol. 21, no. 5, p. 831-842 (2011). doi:10.1177/0959683610394883. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/84001

  • Ruddiman, W.F. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Oldfield, F.A.. Introduction to the early-Anthropocene Special Issue. In: The Holocene : a major interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change, Vol. 21, p. 713 (2011). doi:10.1177/0959683611398053. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/94483

  • Crucifix, Michel. La climatologie aujourd'hui. In: Revue des Questions Scientifiques, Vol. 182, p. 3-32 (2011). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/87500

  • Dubinkina, Svetlana ; Goosse, Hugues ; Sallaz-Damaz, Yoann ; Crespin, Elisabeth ; Crucifix, Michel. Testing a particle filter to reconstruct climate changes over the past centuries. In: International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos in Applied Sciences and Engineering, Vol. 21, no. 12, p. 3611-3618 (2011). doi:10.1142/S0218127411030763. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/107115

  • 2010
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Deleersnijder, Eric ; Bard, Edouard ; Crucifix, Michel ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Hanert, Emmanuel. Le réchauffement climatique est réel et l'Homme en est le principal responsable. In: Le Soir, p. 15 (6 janvier 2010). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/70814

  • 2009
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Otto-Bliesner, Bette L. ; Schneider, Ralph ; Brady, E. C. ; Kucera, M. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Bard, E. ; Braconnot, P. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Hewitt, C. ; Kageyama, M. ; Marti, O. ; Paul, A. ; Rosell-Mele, A. ; Waelbroeck, C. ; Weber, Shlomo ; Weinelt, M. ; Yu, Y.. A comparison of PMIP2 model simulations and the MARGO proxy reconstruction for tropical sea surface temperatures at last glacial maximum. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 32, no. 6, p. 799-815 (2009). doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0509-0. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/66159

  • Crucifix, Michel. How to cope with climate's complexity. In: European Review, Vol. 17, no. 2, p. 371-402 (2009). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/87499

  • Yin, Qiuzhen ; Berger, André ; Crucifix, Michel. Individual and combined effects of ice sheets and precession on MIS-13 climate. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 5, no. 2, p. 229-243 (2009). doi:10.5194/cp-5-229-2009. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/35508

  • Goidts, Esther ; van Wesemael, Bas ; Crucifix, Michel. Magnitude and sources of uncertainties in soil organic carbon (SOC) stock assessments at various scales. In: European Journal of Soil Science, Vol. 60, no. 5, p. 723-739 (2009). doi:10.1111/j.1365-2389.2009.01157.x. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/35321

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Rougier, J.. On the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions. In: The European Physical Journal. Special Topics, Vol. 174, p. 11-31 (2009). doi:10.1140/epjst/e2009-01087-5. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/35446

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Rougier, Jonathan. On the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions: A Bayesian prediction of the next glacial inception. In: European Physics Journal - Special Topics, , no. 174, p. 11-31 (2009). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/71992

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Claussen, M. ; Ganssen, G. ; Guiot, J. ; Guo, Z. ; Kiefer, T. ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Rousseau, D. -D. ; Wolff, Elodie. Preface 'Climate change: from the geological past to the uncertain future - a symposium honouring André, Berger'. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 5, no. 4, p. 707-711 (2009). doi:10.5194/cp-5-707-2009. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/34309

  • Rojas, Maisa ; Moreno, Patricio I. ; Kageyama, Masa ; Crucifix, Michel ; Hewitt, Chris ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Ohgaito, Rumi ; Brady, Esther C. ; Hope, Pandora. The Southern Westerlies during the last glacial maximum in PMIP2 simulations. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 32, no. 4, p. 525-548 (2009). doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0421-7. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/35871

  • 2008
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Crucifix, Michel. Global change: Climate's astronomical sensors. In: Nature : international weekly journal of science, Vol. 456, no. 7218, p. 47-48 (2008). doi:10.1038/456047a. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/36301

  • Murakami, Shigenori ; Ohgaito, Rumi ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.. Global-scale energy and freshwater balance in glacial climate: A comparison of three PMIP2 LGM simulations. In: Journal of Climate, Vol. 21, no. 19, p. 5008-5033 (2008). doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2104.1. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/36350

  • Yin, Qiuzhen ; Berger, André ; Driesschaert, E. ; Goosse, Hugues ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Crucifix, Michel. The Eurasian ice sheet reinforces the East Asian summer monsoon during the interglacial 500 000 years ago. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 4, no. 2, p. 79-90 (2008). doi:10.5194/cp-4-79-2008. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/36502

  • 2007
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Taylor, K.E. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Braconnot, P. ; Hewitt, C.D. ; Doutriaux, C. ; Broccoli, A.J. ; Mitchell, J.F.B. ; Webb, M.J.. Estimating shortwave radiative forcing and response in climate models. In: Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, no. 11, p. 2530-2543 (2007). doi:10.1175/JCLI4143.1. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/72002

  • Loutre, Marie-France ; Berger, André ; Crucifix, Michel ; Desprat, S. ; Sanchez Goñi, Maria Fernanda. Interglacials as simulated by MOBIDIC and the LLN 2-D climate models. In: Developments in Quaternary Science, Vol. 7, p. 547-561 (2007). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/71960

  • Otto-Bliesner, B.L. ; Hewitt, C.D. ; Marchitto, T.M. ; Brady, E. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Murakami, S. ; Weber, S.L.. Last glacial maximum ocean thermohaline circulation: Pmip2 model intercomparisons and data constraints. In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 34, no. 12, p. L12706 (2007). doi:10.1029/2007GL029475. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/72001

  • Braconnot, P. ; Otto-Bliesner, B. ; Harrison, S. ; Joussaume, S. ; Peterchmitt, J.-Y. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Driesschaert, Emmanuelle ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Hewitt, C. D. ; Kageyama, M. ; Kitoh, A. ; Laine, A. ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Marti, O. ; Merkel, U. ; Ramstein, G. ; Valdes, P. ; Weber, Shlomo ; Yu, Y. ; Zhao, Y.. Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum - Part 1: experiments and large-scale features. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 3, no. 2, p. 261-277 (2007). doi:10.5194/cp-3-261-2007. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/37548

  • Braconnot, P. ; Otto-Bliesner, B. ; Harrison, S. ; Joussaume, S. ; Peterchmitt, J.-Y. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Driesschaert, Emmanuelle ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Hewitt, C. D. ; Kageyama, M. ; Kitoh, A. ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Marti, O. ; Merkel, U. ; Ramstein, G. ; Valdes, P. ; Weber, L. ; Yu, Y. ; Zhao, Y.. Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum - Part 2: feedbacks with emphasis on the location of the ITCZ and mid- and high latitudes heat budget. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 3, no. 2, p. 279-296 (2007). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/37549

  • Weber, S.L. ; Drijfhout, S.S. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Eby, M. ; Ganopolski, A. ; Murakami, S. ; Otto-Bliesner, B. ; Peltier, W.R.. The modern and glacial overturning circulation in the Atlantic ocean in PMIP coupled models. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 3, p. 51-64 (2007). doi:10.5194/cp-3-51-2007. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/72000

  • Edwards, Tamsin L. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Harrison, Sandy P.. Using the past to constrain the future: how the palaeorecord can improve estimates of global warming. In: Progress in Physical Geography : an international review of geographical work in the natural and environmental sciences, Vol. 31, no. 5, p. 481-500 (2007). doi:10.1177/0309133307083295. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/37203

  • 2006
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Crucifix, Michel. Does the LGM constrain climate sensitivity. In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 33, no. 18, p. L18701 (2006). doi:10.1029/2006GL027137. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/72005

  • Banks, William E. ; D'Errico, Francesco ; Dibble, Harrold L. ; Crucifix, Michel. Eco-cultural niche modeling : New tools for reconstructing the geography and ecology of past human populations. In: PaleoAnthropology, p. 68-83 (2006). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/94463

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Berger, André. How long will our interglacial be?. In: Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, Vol. 87, no. 35, p. 352-353 (2006). doi:10.1029/2006EO350007. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/71965

  • Kageyama, M. ; Laîné, A. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Braconnot, P. ; CORTIJO, Elsa ; Crucifix, Michel ; de Vernal, A. ; Guiot, Joel. Last Glacial Maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, MARGO sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions. In: Quaternary Science Reviews, Vol. 25, no. 17-18, p. 2082-2102 (2006). doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/72004

  • Masson-Delmotte, V. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Weber, Shlomo ; Wolk, Frank. Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate model intercomparisons and ice-core constraints. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 26, no. 5, p. 513-529 (2006). doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0081-9. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/38607

  • Masson-Delmotte, V. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Weber, Shlomo ; Wolk, Frank. Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate model intercomparisons and ice-core constraints (vol 26, pg 513, 2006). In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 27, no. 4, p. 437-440 (2006). doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0149-1. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/38368

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Berger, André. The climate response to the astronomical forcing. In: Space Science Reviews, Vol. 125, no. 1-4, p. 213-226 (2006). doi:10.1007/s11214-006-9058-1. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/66190

  • 2005
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Crucifix, Michel ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Berger, André. Commentary on "The anthropogenic greenhouse era began thousands of years ago". In: Climatic Change : an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change, Vol. 69, no. 2-3, p. 419-426 (2005). doi:10.1007/s10584-005-7278-0. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/39377

  • Petoukhov, V ; Claussen, M. ; Berger, André ; Crucifix, Michel ; Eby, M. ; Eliseev, AV ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Ganopolski, A ; Goosse, Hugues ; Kamenkovich, I ; Mokhov, II ; Montoya, M ; Mysak, LA ; Sokolov, A. ; Stone, P ; Wang, Z ; Weaver, AJ. EMIC Intercomparison Project (EMIP-CO2): comparative analysis of EMIC simulations of climate, and of equilibrium and transient responses to atmospheric CO2 doubling. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 25, no. 4, p. 363-385 (2005). doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0042-3. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/39080

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Hewitt, Christopher D.. Impact of vegetation changes on the dynamics of the atmosphere at the Last Glacial Maximum. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 25, no.5, p. 447-459 (2005). doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0013-8. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154862

  • Goni, MFS ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Crucifix, Michel ; Peyron, O ; Santos, L ; Duprat, J. ; Malaize, B ; Turon, JL ; Peypouquet, JP. Increasing vegetation and climate gradient in Western Europe over the Last Glacial Inception (122-110 ka): data-model comparison. In: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Vol. 231, no. 1-2, p. 111-130 (2005). doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2004.12.010. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/39504

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Betts, Richard ; Hewitt, C. D.. Pre-industrial-potential and Last Glacial Maximum global vegetation simulated with a coupled climate-biosphere model: diagnosis of bioclimatic relationships. In: Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 45, no. 4, p. 295-312 (2005). doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.10.001. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154861

  • Rahmstorf, S ; Crucifix, Michel ; Ganopolski, A ; Goosse, Hugues ; Kamenkovich, I ; Knutti, R. ; Lohmann, G ; Marsh, R ; Mysak, LA ; Wang, ZM ; Weaver, AJ. Thermohaline circulation hysteresis: A model intercomparison. In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 32, no. 23 (2005). doi:10.1029/2005GL023655. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/38749

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Betts, Richard A. ; Cox, Peter M.. Vegetation and climate variability: a GCM modelling study. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 24, no.5, p. 457-467 (2005). doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0504-z. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154864


  • Biographie


    Diplômes

    année

    intitulé

    établissement

    1998Diplôme de licence en physiqueFacultés Universitaires Notre Dame de la Paix à Namur
    1999Diplômé d'études approfondies en physiqueUniversité catholique de Louvain
    2002Docteur en sciencesUniversité catholique de Louvain

    Expérience professionnelle antérieure

    2002  - 2006 : Palaeoclimate Research Scientist - Met Office Hadley Centre - UK

    Academies

    Membre de l'Académie Royale des Sciences de Belgique

    Membre de la Young Academy of Europe

    Professeur Invité du Collège Belgique (2010)

    membre du Collège des Alumni

    membre du Comité de Géodésie et de Géophysique de l'Académie Royale

    Comités (Belgique)

    Adminstrateur et membre du conseils de la Revue des Questions Scientifiques

    Commissions Scientifique, section 'Sciences Exactes et Naturelles - 4 (SEN-4)', Fonds National de la Rercherche Scientifique

    Comités (International)

    Editeur, Reviews of Géophysics





    Enseignement


    Cours

    Année académique 2014 - 2015
    LGEO 1242 Géographie mathématique
    LGEO 2290 Travaux dirigés de modélisation climatique
    LPHY 1312 Travaux dirigés
    LPHY 1365 Météorologie
    LPHY 2150 Physique et dynamique de l'atmosphère et de l'océan I
    LPHY 2151 Physique et dynamique de l'atmosphère et de l'océan II
    LPHY 2252 Compléments de modélisation du système climatique
    LPHY 2371 Simulation numérique en physique



    Recherche


    Michel Crucifix dirige un groupe de recherche d'étude théorique des climats et paléoclimats. 

    Mots clés : climat, palaeoclimats, simulation numérique, systèmes dynamique, variabilité climatique, statistiques Bayésiennes

    Site du groupe de recherche : http://www.climate.be/users/crucifix


    Publications


    2015
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Mitsui, Takahito ; Crucifix, Michel ; Aihara, K.. Bifurcations and strange non chaotic attractors in a phase oscillator model of glacial-interglacial cycles. In: Physica D: Nonlinear Phenomena (Accepté/Sous presse). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154813

  • Araya Melo, Pablo Andrés ; Crucifix, Michel ; Bounceur, Nabila. Global sensitivity analysis of the Indian monsoon during the Pleistocene. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 11, no.11, p. 45-61 (12/01/2015). doi:10.5194/cp-11-45-2015. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154812

  • 2014
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Araya-Melo, P. A. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Bounceur, N.. Global sensitivity analysis of Indian Monsoon during the Pleistocene. In: Climate of the Past Discussions, Vol. 10, no.2, p. 1609-1651 (2014). doi:10.5194/cpd-10-1609-2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/145683

  • Bounceur, Nabila ; Crucifix, Michel ; Wilkinson , R.D.. Global sensitivity analysis of the climate–vegetation system to astronomical forcing: an emulator-based approach. In: Earth System Dynamics Discussions, Vol. 5, no.5, p. 901-943 (2014). doi:10.5194/esdd-5-901-2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154819

  • Maris, M. N. A. ; Ligtenberg, S. R. M. ; Crucifix, Michel ; de Boer, B. ; Oerlemans, J.. Modelling the evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet since the last interglacial. In: The Cryosphere Discussions, Vol. 8, no.1, p. 85-120 (2014). doi:10.5194/tcd-8-85-2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/145673

  • Maris, M. N. A. ; de Boer, B. ; Ligtenberg, S. R. M. ; Crucifix, Michel ; van de Berg, W. J. ; Oerlemans, J.. Modelling the evolution of the Antarctic ice sheet since the last interglacial. In: The Cryosphere, Vol. 8, no. 4, p. 1347-1360 (2014). doi:10.5194/tc-8-1347-2014. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154855

  • Yin, Qiuzhen ; Singh, Umesh ; Berger, André ; Guo, Zhengtang ; Crucifix, Michel. Relative impact of insolation and the Indo-Pacific warm pool surface temperature on the East Asia summer monsoon during the MIS-13 interglacial. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 10, no. 1, p. 1645-1657. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/151467

  • De Vleeschouwer, David ; Crucifix, Michel ; Bounceur, Nabila ; Claeys, Philippe. The impact of astronomical forcing on the Late Devonian greenhouse climate. In: Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 120, p. 65-80 (2014). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/145687

  • 2013
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • De Saedeleer, Bernard ; Crucifix, Michel ; Wieczorek, Sebastian. Is the astronomical forcing a reliable and unique pacemakerfor climate? A conceptual model study. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 40, p. 273-294 (2013). doi:10.1007/s00382-012-1316-1. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/119083

  • Crucifix, Michel. Why could ice ages be unpredictable?. In: Climate of the Past, , no.9, p. 2253-2267 (2013). doi:10.5194/cp-9-2253-2013. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/146003

  • 2012
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Rohling, E.J. ; Sluijs, A. ; Dijkstra, H.A. ; Köhler, P. ; Van De Wal, R.S.W. ; Von Der Heydt, A.S. ; Beerling, D.J. ; Berger, André ; Bijl, P.K. ; Crucifix, Michel. Making sense of palaeoclimate sensitivity. In: Nature : international weekly journal of science, Vol. 491, p. 683-691 (2012). doi:10.1038/nature11574. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/118863

  • Crucifix, Michel. Oscillators and relaxation phenomena in Pleistocene climate theory. In: Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. A, Vol. 370, no. 1962, p. 1140-1165 (2012). doi:10.1098/rsta.2011.0315. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/107816

  • De Vleeschouwer, D. ; Da Silva, A.C. ; Boulvain, F. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Claeys, P.. Precessional and half-precessional climate forcing of Mid-Devonian monsoon-like dynamics. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 8, no. 1, p. 337-351 (2012). doi:10.5194/cp-8-337-2012. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/118870

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Harrison, Sandy ; Brierley, Chris. Recent and deep pasts in paleoclimate model intercomparison project. In: Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, Vol. 93, no.51, p. 539 (2012). doi:10.1029/2012EO510010. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/132722

  • Crucifix, Michel. Traditional and novel approaches to palaeoclimate modelling. In: Quaternary Science Reviews, Vol. 57, no. 4, p. 1-16 (2012). doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2012.09.010. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/132719

  • 2011
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Crucifix, Michel. How can a glacial inception be predicted?. In: The Holocene : a major interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change, Vol. 21, no. 5, p. 831-842 (2011). doi:10.1177/0959683610394883. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/84001

  • Ruddiman, W.F. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Oldfield, F.A.. Introduction to the early-Anthropocene Special Issue. In: The Holocene : a major interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change, Vol. 21, p. 713 (2011). doi:10.1177/0959683611398053. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/94483

  • Crucifix, Michel. La climatologie aujourd'hui. In: Revue des Questions Scientifiques, Vol. 182, p. 3-32 (2011). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/87500

  • Dubinkina, Svetlana ; Goosse, Hugues ; Sallaz-Damaz, Yoann ; Crespin, Elisabeth ; Crucifix, Michel. Testing a particle filter to reconstruct climate changes over the past centuries. In: International Journal of Bifurcation and Chaos in Applied Sciences and Engineering, Vol. 21, no. 12, p. 3611-3618 (2011). doi:10.1142/S0218127411030763. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/107115

  • 2010
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Deleersnijder, Eric ; Bard, Edouard ; Crucifix, Michel ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Hanert, Emmanuel. Le réchauffement climatique est réel et l'Homme en est le principal responsable. In: Le Soir, p. 15 (6 janvier 2010). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/70814

  • 2009
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Otto-Bliesner, Bette L. ; Schneider, Ralph ; Brady, E. C. ; Kucera, M. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Bard, E. ; Braconnot, P. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Hewitt, C. ; Kageyama, M. ; Marti, O. ; Paul, A. ; Rosell-Mele, A. ; Waelbroeck, C. ; Weber, Shlomo ; Weinelt, M. ; Yu, Y.. A comparison of PMIP2 model simulations and the MARGO proxy reconstruction for tropical sea surface temperatures at last glacial maximum. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 32, no. 6, p. 799-815 (2009). doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0509-0. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/66159

  • Crucifix, Michel. How to cope with climate's complexity. In: European Review, Vol. 17, no. 2, p. 371-402 (2009). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/87499

  • Yin, Qiuzhen ; Berger, André ; Crucifix, Michel. Individual and combined effects of ice sheets and precession on MIS-13 climate. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 5, no. 2, p. 229-243 (2009). doi:10.5194/cp-5-229-2009. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/35508

  • Goidts, Esther ; van Wesemael, Bas ; Crucifix, Michel. Magnitude and sources of uncertainties in soil organic carbon (SOC) stock assessments at various scales. In: European Journal of Soil Science, Vol. 60, no. 5, p. 723-739 (2009). doi:10.1111/j.1365-2389.2009.01157.x. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/35321

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Rougier, J.. On the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions. In: The European Physical Journal. Special Topics, Vol. 174, p. 11-31 (2009). doi:10.1140/epjst/e2009-01087-5. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/35446

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Rougier, Jonathan. On the use of simple dynamical systems for climate predictions: A Bayesian prediction of the next glacial inception. In: European Physics Journal - Special Topics, , no. 174, p. 11-31 (2009). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/71992

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Claussen, M. ; Ganssen, G. ; Guiot, J. ; Guo, Z. ; Kiefer, T. ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Rousseau, D. -D. ; Wolff, Elodie. Preface 'Climate change: from the geological past to the uncertain future - a symposium honouring André, Berger'. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 5, no. 4, p. 707-711 (2009). doi:10.5194/cp-5-707-2009. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/34309

  • Rojas, Maisa ; Moreno, Patricio I. ; Kageyama, Masa ; Crucifix, Michel ; Hewitt, Chris ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Ohgaito, Rumi ; Brady, Esther C. ; Hope, Pandora. The Southern Westerlies during the last glacial maximum in PMIP2 simulations. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 32, no. 4, p. 525-548 (2009). doi:10.1007/s00382-008-0421-7. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/35871

  • 2008
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Crucifix, Michel. Global change: Climate's astronomical sensors. In: Nature : international weekly journal of science, Vol. 456, no. 7218, p. 47-48 (2008). doi:10.1038/456047a. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/36301

  • Murakami, Shigenori ; Ohgaito, Rumi ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.. Global-scale energy and freshwater balance in glacial climate: A comparison of three PMIP2 LGM simulations. In: Journal of Climate, Vol. 21, no. 19, p. 5008-5033 (2008). doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2104.1. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/36350

  • Yin, Qiuzhen ; Berger, André ; Driesschaert, E. ; Goosse, Hugues ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Crucifix, Michel. The Eurasian ice sheet reinforces the East Asian summer monsoon during the interglacial 500 000 years ago. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 4, no. 2, p. 79-90 (2008). doi:10.5194/cp-4-79-2008. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/36502

  • 2007
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Taylor, K.E. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Braconnot, P. ; Hewitt, C.D. ; Doutriaux, C. ; Broccoli, A.J. ; Mitchell, J.F.B. ; Webb, M.J.. Estimating shortwave radiative forcing and response in climate models. In: Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, no. 11, p. 2530-2543 (2007). doi:10.1175/JCLI4143.1. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/72002

  • Loutre, Marie-France ; Berger, André ; Crucifix, Michel ; Desprat, S. ; Sanchez Goñi, Maria Fernanda. Interglacials as simulated by MOBIDIC and the LLN 2-D climate models. In: Developments in Quaternary Science, Vol. 7, p. 547-561 (2007). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/71960

  • Otto-Bliesner, B.L. ; Hewitt, C.D. ; Marchitto, T.M. ; Brady, E. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Murakami, S. ; Weber, S.L.. Last glacial maximum ocean thermohaline circulation: Pmip2 model intercomparisons and data constraints. In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 34, no. 12, p. L12706 (2007). doi:10.1029/2007GL029475. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/72001

  • Braconnot, P. ; Otto-Bliesner, B. ; Harrison, S. ; Joussaume, S. ; Peterchmitt, J.-Y. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Driesschaert, Emmanuelle ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Hewitt, C. D. ; Kageyama, M. ; Kitoh, A. ; Laine, A. ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Marti, O. ; Merkel, U. ; Ramstein, G. ; Valdes, P. ; Weber, Shlomo ; Yu, Y. ; Zhao, Y.. Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum - Part 1: experiments and large-scale features. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 3, no. 2, p. 261-277 (2007). doi:10.5194/cp-3-261-2007. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/37548

  • Braconnot, P. ; Otto-Bliesner, B. ; Harrison, S. ; Joussaume, S. ; Peterchmitt, J.-Y. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Driesschaert, Emmanuelle ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Hewitt, C. D. ; Kageyama, M. ; Kitoh, A. ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Marti, O. ; Merkel, U. ; Ramstein, G. ; Valdes, P. ; Weber, L. ; Yu, Y. ; Zhao, Y.. Results of PMIP2 coupled simulations of the Mid-Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum - Part 2: feedbacks with emphasis on the location of the ITCZ and mid- and high latitudes heat budget. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 3, no. 2, p. 279-296 (2007). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/37549

  • Weber, S.L. ; Drijfhout, S.S. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Crucifix, Michel ; Eby, M. ; Ganopolski, A. ; Murakami, S. ; Otto-Bliesner, B. ; Peltier, W.R.. The modern and glacial overturning circulation in the Atlantic ocean in PMIP coupled models. In: Climate of the Past, Vol. 3, p. 51-64 (2007). doi:10.5194/cp-3-51-2007. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/72000

  • Edwards, Tamsin L. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Harrison, Sandy P.. Using the past to constrain the future: how the palaeorecord can improve estimates of global warming. In: Progress in Physical Geography : an international review of geographical work in the natural and environmental sciences, Vol. 31, no. 5, p. 481-500 (2007). doi:10.1177/0309133307083295. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/37203

  • 2006
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Crucifix, Michel. Does the LGM constrain climate sensitivity. In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 33, no. 18, p. L18701 (2006). doi:10.1029/2006GL027137. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/72005

  • Banks, William E. ; D'Errico, Francesco ; Dibble, Harrold L. ; Crucifix, Michel. Eco-cultural niche modeling : New tools for reconstructing the geography and ecology of past human populations. In: PaleoAnthropology, p. 68-83 (2006). http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/94463

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Berger, André. How long will our interglacial be?. In: Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, Vol. 87, no. 35, p. 352-353 (2006). doi:10.1029/2006EO350007. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/71965

  • Kageyama, M. ; Laîné, A. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Braconnot, P. ; CORTIJO, Elsa ; Crucifix, Michel ; de Vernal, A. ; Guiot, Joel. Last Glacial Maximum temperatures over the North Atlantic, Europe and western Siberia: a comparison between PMIP models, MARGO sea-surface temperatures and pollen-based reconstructions. In: Quaternary Science Reviews, Vol. 25, no. 17-18, p. 2082-2102 (2006). doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.010. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/72004

  • Masson-Delmotte, V. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Weber, Shlomo ; Wolk, Frank. Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate model intercomparisons and ice-core constraints. In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 26, no. 5, p. 513-529 (2006). doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0081-9. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/38607

  • Masson-Delmotte, V. ; Crucifix, Michel ; Weber, Shlomo ; Wolk, Frank. Past and future polar amplification of climate change: climate model intercomparisons and ice-core constraints (vol 26, pg 513, 2006). In: Climate Dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system, Vol. 27, no. 4, p. 437-440 (2006). doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0149-1. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/38368

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Berger, André. The climate response to the astronomical forcing. In: Space Science Reviews, Vol. 125, no. 1-4, p. 213-226 (2006). doi:10.1007/s11214-006-9058-1. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/66190

  • 2005
    Article de périodique (Journal article)
  • Crucifix, Michel ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Berger, André. Commentary on "The anthropogenic greenhouse era began thousands of years ago". In: Climatic Change : an interdisciplinary, international journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change, Vol. 69, no. 2-3, p. 419-426 (2005). doi:10.1007/s10584-005-7278-0. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/39377

  • Petoukhov, V ; Claussen, M. ; Berger, André ; Crucifix, Michel ; Eby, M. ; Eliseev, AV ; Fichefet, Thierry ; Ganopolski, A ; Goosse, Hugues ; Kamenkovich, I ; Mokhov, II ; Montoya, M ; Mysak, LA ; Sokolov, A. ; Stone, P ; Wang, Z ; Weaver, AJ. EMIC Intercomparison Project (EMIP-CO2): comparative analysis of EMIC simulations of climate, and of equilibrium and transient responses to atmospheric CO2 doubling. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 25, no. 4, p. 363-385 (2005). doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0042-3. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/39080

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Hewitt, Christopher D.. Impact of vegetation changes on the dynamics of the atmosphere at the Last Glacial Maximum. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 25, no.5, p. 447-459 (2005). doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0013-8. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154862

  • Goni, MFS ; Loutre, Marie-France ; Crucifix, Michel ; Peyron, O ; Santos, L ; Duprat, J. ; Malaize, B ; Turon, JL ; Peypouquet, JP. Increasing vegetation and climate gradient in Western Europe over the Last Glacial Inception (122-110 ka): data-model comparison. In: Earth and Planetary Science Letters, Vol. 231, no. 1-2, p. 111-130 (2005). doi:10.1016/j.epsl.2004.12.010. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/39504

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Betts, Richard ; Hewitt, C. D.. Pre-industrial-potential and Last Glacial Maximum global vegetation simulated with a coupled climate-biosphere model: diagnosis of bioclimatic relationships. In: Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 45, no. 4, p. 295-312 (2005). doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2004.10.001. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154861

  • Rahmstorf, S ; Crucifix, Michel ; Ganopolski, A ; Goosse, Hugues ; Kamenkovich, I ; Knutti, R. ; Lohmann, G ; Marsh, R ; Mysak, LA ; Wang, ZM ; Weaver, AJ. Thermohaline circulation hysteresis: A model intercomparison. In: Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 32, no. 23 (2005). doi:10.1029/2005GL023655. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/38749

  • Crucifix, Michel ; Betts, Richard A. ; Cox, Peter M.. Vegetation and climate variability: a GCM modelling study. In: Climate Dynamics, Vol. 24, no.5, p. 457-467 (2005). doi:10.1007/s00382-004-0504-z. http://hdl.handle.net/2078.1/154864


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